Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market - Global Forecast To 2030
商品番号 : SMB-11074
| 出版社 | MarketsandMarkets |
| 出版年月 | 2025年5月 |
| ページ数 | 340 |
| 図表数 | 363 |
| 価格タイプ | シングルユーザライセンス |
| 価格 | USD 4,950 |
| 種別 | 英文調査報告書 |
- 本調査は、持続可能な航空燃料市場を様々なセグメントおよびサブセグメントにわたって網羅しています。燃料の種類、航空機の種類、バイオ燃料への転換経路、バイオ燃料の混合能力、エンドユーザー、地域に基づき、様々なセグメントにおける市場規模と成長の可能性を推定することを目的としています。また、主要プレーヤーの詳細な競合分析に加え、企業概要、ソリューションおよび事業提供に関する主要な考察、各プレーヤーの最近の動向、主要な市場戦略についても分析しています。
- 本レポートは、持続可能な航空燃料市場を北米、欧州、アジア太平洋、中東、ラテンアメリカの5つの主要地域に分類しています。さらに、持続可能な航空燃料市場の成長に影響を与える推進要因、制約要因、課題、機会といった重要な要素に関する詳細な情報も提供しています。
- 主要な業界プレーヤーを包括的に分析し、各社の事業概要、ソリューション、サービスに関する洞察を提供しています。この分析では、持続可能な航空燃料市場に関連する合意、コラボレーション、製品の発売、契約、拡張、買収、パートナーシップなどの重要な側面もカバーしています。
Report Overview
The sustainable aviation fuel market is estimated at USD 2.06 billion in 2025. It is projected to reach USD 25.62 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 65.5%.
持続可能な航空燃料市場は、2025年には20億6,000万米ドルに達すると推定されています。2030年には256億2,000万米ドルに達し、年平均成長率（CAGR）65.5%で成長すると予測されています。
In terms of volume, the market is projected to grow from 0.30 billion gallons in 2025 to 3.68 billion gallons by 2030. SAF is made from sustainable biomass, such as agricultural waste, used cooking oil, municipal solid waste, and non-food biomass. In recent years, SAF has emerged as the central solution to combat carbon neutrality and global climate objectives. The need for enhancing regulatory support, net-zero commitments by the aviation industry, and increased investments in SAF manufacturing technologies drive sustainable growth within this market globally.
数量ベースで見ると、市場は2025年の3億ガロンから2030年には36億8000万ガロンに成長すると予測されています。SAFは、農業廃棄物、使用済み食用油、都市固形廃棄物、非食用バイオマスなどの持続可能なバイオマスから作られています。近年、SAFはカーボンニュートラルと地球規模の気候変動対策における中心的なソリューションとして浮上しています。規制強化の必要性、航空業界によるネットゼロへのコミットメント、そしてSAF製造技術への投資増加は、この市場における世界的な持続的な成長を促進しています。
“The business & general aviation segment is estimated to account for the second-largest share in 2025.”
Based on aircraft type, the sustainable aviation fuel market is categorized into commercial aviation, military aviation, business & general aviation, and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs). The business & general aviation segment is projected to account for the second-largest market share in the sustainable aviation fuel market. Business & general aviation, which covers charter flights, private jets, and non-commercial aircraft, has increased its focus on carbon footprint. As a result, operators and manufacturers are increasingly turning to SAF to meet regulatory requirements and consumer expectations for greener operations. To serve regulatory mandates and customer expectations for cleaner aviation, operators and manufacturers prefer SAF as their solution. Major business jet companies, such as Bombardier, Gulfstream, and Dassault, are actively promoting SAF adoption by certifying their aircraft for SAF compatibility and incorporating it into operations. With the growth of the commercial aviation industry as the largest consumer of SAF, quick uptake and significant per-flight fuel consumption of business and general aircraft are projected to boost the segment’s growth during the forecast period.
“The airliner segment is estimated to account for the largest share in 2025.”
Based on end user, the airliner segment is estimated to be the largest market by 2025 due to the ongoing expansion of air travel for tourism and business purposes. Airlines are expanding their fleets and replacing older aircraft with more efficient and technologically superior to meet increasing passenger volumes and environmental requirements. In addition, the need for new routes and higher frequencies of flights is fueling investments in aircraft acquisition, maintenance, and onboard services, all of which contribute to the market strength of the airliner segment. Furthermore, the airliner segment benefits significantly from substantial economies of scale and long-term strategic alliances with manufacturers and service providers. Airlines increasingly focus on improving passenger experience and operational efficiency through digitalization, such as integrating AI, IoT, and advanced analytics. With these developments, the airliner segment is set to continue its position as an aviation industry leader, contributing the largest share of the SAF market.
“Europe is estimated to account for the second-largest share in 2025.”
Europe is projected to account for the second-largest market due to robust regulatory support, aggressive climate policies, and a well-developed aviation infrastructure. The European Union has been leading the way in supporting SAF through measures like the ReFuelEU Aviation proposal, which requires rising SAF blending ratios over time. Moreover, the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) encourages airlines to lower emissions further, compelling carriers to use cleaner fuel options such as SAF. The Netherlands, France, Germany, and the UK are already investing in SAF production plants and setting up supply chains to cater to future demand. The presence of major SAF producers, such as SkyNRG and Neste, also characterizes Europe. In addition, European airlines are increasingly using SAF in aircraft as fuel, increasing their availability to commercial and general aviation planes. These collective efforts and infrastructure preparedness make Europe the second-largest market share in 2025.
Break-up of Primary Participants’ Profiles in Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market
- By Company Type: Tier 1 – 35%; Tier 2 – 54%; and Tier 3 – 20%
- By Designation: Directors – 55%; Managers – 27%; and Others – 18%
- By Region: North America – 40%; Europe – 20%; Asia Pacific – 30%; Latin America – 5%; and Middle East– 4 %
Neste (Finland), Shell (UK), TotalEnergies (France), OMV Group (Austria), and World Energy, LLC (UK) are some of the key players operating in the sustainable aviation fuel market. These key players offer connectivity applicable to various sectors and have well-equipped and strong distribution networks across North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Latin America.
Research Coverage
The study covers the sustainable aviation fuel market across various segments and subsegments. It aims to estimate this market’s size and growth potential across different segments based on fuel type, aircraft type, biofuel conversion pathway, biofuel blending capacity, end user, and region. This study also includes an in-depth competitive analysis of the key players in the market, along with their company profiles, key observations related to their solutions and business offerings, recent developments undertaken by them, and key market strategies adopted by them.
This report segments the sustainable aviation fuel market across five key regions: North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Latin America. Its scope includes in-depth information on significant factors, such as drivers, restraints, challenges, and opportunities that influence sustainable aviation fuel market growth.
A comprehensive analysis of major industry players has been conducted to provide insights into their business profiles, solutions, and services. This analysis also covers key aspects like agreements, collaborations, product launches, contracts, expansion, acquisitions, and partnerships associated with the sustainable aviation fuel market.
Reasons to Buy this Report:
This report is a valuable resource for market leaders and newcomers, offering data that closely approximates revenue figures for the overall market and its subsegments. It equips stakeholders with a comprehensive understanding of the competitive landscape, facilitating informed decisions to enhance their market positioning and formulating effective go-to-market strategies. The report imparts valuable insights into the market dynamics, offering information on crucial factors such as drivers, restraints, challenges, and opportunities, enabling stakeholders to gauge the market’s pulse.
Insights Covered by the Report
- Analysis of key drivers and factors, such as advancements in feedstock processing and refining technologies, increasing adoption of fuel-efficient aircraft engines, and stringent environmental regulatory mandates
- Market Penetration: Comprehensive information on sustainable aviation fuel solutions offered by the top players in the market
- Product Development/Innovation: Detailed insights on upcoming technologies, research & development activities, and new product & service launches in the sustainable aviation fuel market
- Market Development: Comprehensive information about lucrative markets across varied regions
- Market Diversification: Exhaustive information about new products & services, untapped geographies, recent developments, and investments in the sustainable aviation fuel market
- Competitive Assessment: In-depth assessment of market shares, growth strategies, and service offerings of leading players in the sustainable aviation fuel market
Table of Contents
1 INTRODUCTION 29
1.1 STUDY OBJECTIVES 29
1.2 MARKET DEFINITION 29
1.3 STUDY SCOPE 30
1.3.1 MARKET SEGMENTATION 30
1.3.2 INCLUSIONS & EXCLUSIONS 31
1.4 YEARS CONSIDERED 32
1.5 CURRENCY CONSIDERED 32
1.6 STAKEHOLDERS 32
1.7 SUMMARY OF CHANGES 33
2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 34
2.1 RESEARCH DATA 34
2.1.1 SECONDARY DATA 35
2.1.1.1 Secondary sources 36
2.1.2 PRIMARY DATA 36
2.1.2.1 Key primary sources 36
2.1.2.2 Key data from primary sources 37
2.1.2.3 Breakdown of primary interviews 37
2.2 FACTOR ANALYSIS 38
2.2.1 INTRODUCTION 38
2.2.2 DEMAND-SIDE INDICATORS 38
2.2.3 SUPPLY-SIDE INDICATORS 38
2.3 MARKET SIZE ESTIMATION 39
2.3.1 BOTTOM-UP APPROACH 39
2.3.2 TOP-DOWN APPROACH 40
2.4 DATA TRIANGULATION 41
2.5 RESEARCH ASSUMPTIONS 42
2.6 RESEARCH LIMITATIONS 42
2.7 RISK ASSESSMENT 43
3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 44
4 PREMIUM INSIGHTS 47
4.1 OPPORTUNITIES FOR PLAYERS IN SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET 47
4.2 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY END USER 47
4.3 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY AIRCRAFT TYPE 48
4.4 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE 48
4.5 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY COUNTRY 49
5 MARKET OVERVIEW 50
5.1 INTRODUCTION 50
5.2 MARKET DYNAMICS 50
5.2.1 DRIVERS 51
5.2.1.1 Advancements in feedstock processing and refining technologies 51
5.2.1.2 Increasing adoption of fuel-efficient aircraft engines 52
5.2.1.3 Stringent environmental regulatory mandates 53
5.2.2 RESTRAINTS 54
5.2.2.1 High production cost 54
5.2.2.2 Limited feedstock availability 54
5.2.3 OPPORTUNITIES 56
5.2.3.1 Rising depletion of fossil fuels 56
5.2.3.2 Growing focus on reducing greenhouse emissions 56
5.2.3.3 Increasing focus on aircraft modernization 58
5.2.4 CHALLENGES 59
5.2.4.1 Integration of SAF supply chain with existing jet fuel supply chain 59
5.2.4.2 Lack of sufficient funding for demonstration of SAF technologies 60
5.2.4.3 Infrastructural limitations 60
5.3 TRENDS AND DISRUPTIONS IMPACTING CUSTOMER BUSINESS 61
5.4 ECOSYSTEM ANALYSIS 61
5.4.1 PROMINENT COMPANIES 61
5.4.2 PRIVATE AND SMALL ENTERPRISES 61
5.4.3 END USERS 61
5.5 TARIFF & REGULATORY LANDSCAPE 63
5.5.1 REGULATIONS, BY REGION 63
5.5.2 ORGANIZATIONS INVOLVED IN SAF PROGRAMS 65
5.5.2.1 Sustainable Aviation Fuel User Group (SAFUG) 66
5.5.2.2 CORSIA: International Agreement 66
5.5.2.3 IATA Net Zero Commitment 66
5.5.2.4 Airport Carbon Accreditation 66
5.5.2.5 Clean Skies for Tomorrow 66
5.5.2.6 EU Clean Aviation Joint Undertaking 66
5.5.2.7 European Green Deal 66
5.5.2.8 National Funding Programs 66
5.5.2.9 International Air Transport Association 67
5.5.2.10 Commercial Aviation Alternative Fuels Initiative (CAAFI) 67
5.5.2.11 NORDIC & NISA Initiatives for Sustainable Aviation 67
5.5.2.12 Air Transport Action Group 67
5.5.2.13 International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) 67
5.5.2.14 International Renewable Energy Agency 68
5.5.3 TARIFF RELATED TO SAF 68
5.6 TRADE DATA 69
5.6.1 IMPORT SCENARIO 69
5.6.2 EXPORT SCENARIO 71
5.7 COST CONTRIBUTION OF SAF SUPPLY CHAIN ELEMENTS 72
5.7.1 FACTORS INFLUENCING COST OF SAF 72
5.7.1.1 Improved feedstock yields 72
5.7.1.2 Advanced bio-manufacturing technology 73
5.7.1.3 Increased production of SAF 74
5.7.2 ROLE OF SAF CERTIFICATES, REGISTRIES, AND BOOK AND CLAIM SYSTEMS 75
5.7.2.1 SAF certificates 75
5.7.2.2 SAF registries 75
5.7.2.3 Book and claim systems 76
5.8 VOLUME DATA 78
5.8.1 SAF CONSUMPTION VOLUME, BY REGION 78
5.8.2 SAF OFFTAKE AGREEMENTS, BY FUEL PRODUCER 78
5.8.3 SAF OFFTAKE AGREEMENTS, BY FUEL PURCHASER 79
5.8.4 SAF PRODUCTION VOLUME 80
5.9 OPERATIONAL DATA 80
5.9.1 PROJECTED CAPACITY OF SAF IN-SERVICE FACILITIES, BY COUNTRY AND COMPANY 80
5.10 KEY STAKEHOLDERS AND BUYING CRITERIA 81
5.10.1 KEY STAKEHOLDERS IN BUYING PROCESS 81
5.10.2 BUYING CRITERIA 83
5.11 CASE STUDIES 84
5.11.1 ALL NIPPON AIRWAYS (ANA) INCORPORATED NESTE’S SAF TO REDUCE LIFECYCLE GREENHOUSE EMISSIONS 84
5.11.2 UNITED AIRLINES DEMONSTRATED SEAMLESS REPLACEMENT OF TRADITIONAL JET FUEL WITH SAF 84
5.11.3 AIR NEW ZEALAND’S INITIATIVE TRANSFORMED WOODY WASTE INTO SAF 84
5.12 KEY CONFERENCES & EVENTS 85
5.13 TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS 86
5.13.1 KEY TECHNOLOGIES 86
5.13.1.1 Bioforming Process 86
5.13.1.2 Lignocellulosic Biomass Pretreatment Technologies 86
5.13.2 ADJACENT TECHNOLOGIES 87
5.13.2.1 Advanced Feedstock Processing 87
5.13.2.2 Digital Fuel Tracking & Blockchain for Emission Auditing 87
5.13.3 COMPLEMENTARY TECHNOLOGIES 87
5.13.3.1 Carbon Capture and Utilization (CCU) 87
5.13.3.2 Hydrogen Electrolysis 87
5.14 PRICING ANALYSIS 88
5.14.1 AVERAGE SELLING PRICE, BY BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY 88
5.14.2 AVERAGE SELLING PRICE TREND, BY REGION 89
5.14.3 INDICATIVE PRICING ANALYSIS 90
5.15 COMPARISON BETWEEN JET FUEL AND SAF 91
5.15.1 VOLUME AND PRICE 92
5.15.2 FUEL CONSUMPTION AND EMISSION 92
5.15.3 OPERATIONAL COST AND EFFICIENCY 93
5.15.4 INFRASTRUCTURE REQUIREMENT 93
5.16 INVESTMENT AND FUNDING SCENARIO 94
5.17 IMPACT OF AI/GENERATIVE AI ON SAF MARKET 94
5.17.1 FEEDSTOCK OPTIMIZATION 95
5.17.2 PROCESS EFFICIENCY AND YIELD IMPROVEMENT 95
5.17.3 PREDICTIVE SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT 95
5.17.4 LIFECYCLE AND EMISSION MODELING 96
5.17.5 ACCELERATED R&D AND INNOVATION 96
5.18 MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK 96
5.18.1 INTRODUCTION 96
5.18.2 NORTH AMERICA 96
5.18.3 EUROPE 97
5.18.4 ASIA PACIFIC 97
5.18.5 MIDDLE EAST 97
5.18.6 LATIN AMERICA 97
5.19 TOTAL COST OF OWNERSHIP (TCO) 98
5.19.1 INTRODUCTION 98
5.20 BUSINESS MODELS 99
5.21 TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP 101
6 INDUSTRY TRENDS 102
6.1 INTRODUCTION 102
6.2 TECHNOLOGY TRENDS 102
6.2.1 ETHANOL-TO-JET (ETJ) TECHNOLOGY 102
6.2.2 ADVANCED GASIFICATION 103
6.2.3 HYDROCRACKING TECHNOLOGY 104
6.2.4 UNICRACKING BY FISCHER-TROPSCH 104
6.2.5 FT CATALYSTS 105
6.2.6 SAF-COMPATIBLE TURBINE GENERATOR 105
6.3 IMPACT OF MEGATRENDS 105
6.3.1 INTERNET OF THINGS (IOT) FOR EMISSION MONITORING 105
6.3.2 ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) FOR FEEDSTOCK OPTIMIZATION 105
6.3.3 DIGITAL TWINS FOR FUEL BLEND EXPERIMENTS 106
6.3.4 COLLABORATIVE INDUSTRY PLATFORMS FOR KNOWLEDGE SHARING 106
6.4 SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS 106
6.4.1 DETAILED ILLUSTRATION OF SAF SUPPLY CHAIN 108
6.5 PATENT ANALYSIS 109
7 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY 112
7.1 INTRODUCTION 113
7.2 FISCHER-TROPSCH (FT) 116
7.2.1 NEED TO PRODUCE HIGH-QUALITY FUEL FROM ABUNDANT WASTE AND BIOMASS RESOURCES TO DRIVE MARKET 116
7.2.2 FISCHER-TROPSCH SYNTHETIC PARAFFINIC KEROSENE (FT-SPK) 116
7.2.3 FISCHER-TROPSCH SYNTHETIC PARAFFINIC KEROSENE WITH AROMATICS (FT-SPK/A) 117
7.3 HYDROPROCESSED ESTERS AND FATTY ACIDS (HEFA) 118
7.3.1 AVAILABILITY OF LOW-COST LIPID FEEDSTOCKS AND THEIR PROVEN COMMERCIAL SCALABILITY FOR SAF PRODUCTION TO DRIVE MARKET 118
7.3.2 HYDROPROCESSED ESTERS AND FATTY ACIDS – SYNTHETIC PARAFFINIC KEROSENE (HEFA-SPK) 118
7.3.3 HIGH-HYDROGEN CONTENT SYNTHETIC PARAFFINIC KEROSENE (HHC-SPK) 119
7.3.4 HYDROPROCESSED FERMENTED SUGARS TO SYNTHESIZED ISO-PARAFFINS (HFS-SIP) 120
7.4 ALCOHOL-TO-JET (ATJ) 121
7.4.1 FLEXIBILITY TO USE WIDELY AVAILABLE ALCOHOLS FROM DIVERSE RENEWABLE SOURCES TO DRIVE MARKET 121
7.4.2 ALCOHOL-TO-JET SYNTHETIC PARAFFINIC KEROSENE (ATJ-SPK) 121
7.4.3 ALCOHOL-TO-JET SYNTHETIC KEROSENE WITH AROMATICS (ATJ-SKA) 122
7.5 CATALYTIC HYDROTHERMOLYSIS JET (CHJ) 123
7.5.1 FOCUS ON LOW PROCESSING COST TO DRIVE MARKET 123
7.6 CO-PROCESSING 124
7.6.1 EMPHASIS ON COST-EFFECTIVE SAF PRODUCTION TO DRIVE MARKET 124
8 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY 126
8.1 INTRODUCTION 127
8.2 BELOW 30% 128
8.2.1 ADOPTION OF SAF WITHOUT MAJOR MODIFICATIONS TO DRIVE MARKET 128
8.2.2 USE CASE: SK ENERGY’S (SOUTH KOREA) CO-PROCESSING APPROACH TO PRODUCE SAF 128
8.3 30% TO 50% 128
8.3.1 ADVANCEMENTS IN SAF PRODUCTION TECHNOLOGIES TO DRIVE MARKET 128
8.3.2 USE CASE: REPSOL AND VUELING PIONEER SPAIN’S FIRST COMMERCIAL FLIGHT WITH 50% SAF USING HEFA TECHNOLOGY 129
8.4 ABOVE 50% 129
8.4.1 INCREASING R&D IN TECHNOLOGICAL PATHWAYS TO DRIVE MARKET 129
8.4.2 USE CASE: AIRBUS, WITH ROLLS-ROYCE AND NESTE, DEMONSTRATED 100% SAF FLIGHT WITH HEFA FUEL, CUTTING CONTRAIL IMPACT BY 56% 129
9 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY END USER 130
9.1 INTRODUCTION 131
9.2 AIRLINER 132
9.2.1 GROWING INVESTMENTS IN SUSTAINABLE SOLUTIONS TO DRIVE SEGMENT 132
9.2.2 LARGE AIRLINER 132
9.2.3 MEDIUM AIRLINER 132
9.2.4 SMALL AIRLINER 133
9.3 GOVERNMENT & MILITARY 133
9.3.1 GROWING NEED TO REDUCE GREENHOUSE EMISSIONS AND ACHIEVE LONG-TERM OPERATIONAL RESILIENCE TO DRIVE MARKET 133
9.4 NON-SCHEDULED OPERATOR 133
9.4.1 INCREASING PASSENGER FOCUS ON LOW-CARBON TRAVEL OPTIONS TO DRIVE MARKET 133
10 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE 134
10.1 INTRODUCTION 135
10.2 BIOFUEL 136
10.2.1 GROWING FOCUS ON REDUCING GREENHOUSE EMISSIONS TO DRIVE MARKET 136
10.3 HYDROGEN FUEL 136
10.3.1 RISE IN GOVERNMENT INVESTMENTS IN HYDROGEN TECHNOLOGIES AND INFRASTRUCTURE TO DRIVE MARKET 136
10.4 POWER-TO-LIQUID (PTL) 137
10.4.1 NEED FOR INCREASED DEEP DECARBONIZATION POTENTIAL TO DRIVE MARKET 137
10.5 GAS-TO-LIQUID (GTL) 137
10.5.1 NEED FOR IMPROVED COMBUSTION EFFICIENCY AND LOW PARTICULATE EMISSIONS TO DRIVE MARKET 137
11 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY AIRCRAFT TYPE 138
11.1 INTRODUCTION 139
11.2 COMMERCIAL AVIATION 140
11.2.1 GROWING E-COMMERCE INDUSTRY AND GLOBAL AIR TRAVEL DEMAND TO DRIVE GROWTH 140
11.2.2 NARROW-BODY AIRCRAFT 140
11.2.3 WIDE-BODY AIRCRAFT 141
11.2.4 REGIONAL TRANSPORT AIRCRAFT 141
11.3 BUSINESS & GENERAL AVIATION 141
11.3.1 EMPHASIS ON CORPORATE SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY AND HIGH FOCUS ON SUSTAINABILITY TO DRIVE SEGMENT 141
11.3.2 BUSINESS JET 141
11.3.3 LIGHT AIRCRAFT 142
11.3.4 COMMERCIAL HELICOPTER 142
11.4 MILITARY AVIATION 142
11.4.1 HIGH OPERATIONAL DEMAND FOR DIVERSE RANGE OF MISSIONS TO DRIVE SEGMENT 142
11.4.2 FIGHTER AIRCRAFT 143
11.4.3 TRANSPORT AIRCRAFT 143
11.4.4 SPECIAL MISSION AIRCRAFT 143
11.4.5 MILITARY HELICOPTER 143
11.5 UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLE 144
11.5.1 GROWING FOCUS ON REDUCING ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT OF PERSISTENT SURVEILLANCE AND INTELLIGENCE MISSIONS TO DRIVE MARKET 144
12 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY REGION 145
12.1 INTRODUCTION 146
12.2 NORTH AMERICA 149
12.2.1 PESTLE ANALYSIS 151
12.2.2 US 157
12.2.2.1 Leveraging federal policy, strategic partnerships, and domestic resources to drive growth 157
12.2.3 CANADA 158
12.2.3.1 Leveraging clean fuel regulations and renewable resources to drive growth 158
12.3 ASIA PACIFIC 160
12.3.1 PESTLE ANALYSIS 162
12.3.2 INDIA 168
12.3.2.1 Need for harnessing indigenous innovation and agricultural abundance to drive growth 168
12.3.3 AUSTRALIA 170
12.3.3.1 Need for leveraging agricultural strengths and technological innovation to drive growth 170
12.3.4 SOUTH KOREA 171
12.3.4.1 Harnessing technological advancements and strategic partnerships to drive growth 171
12.3.5 JAPAN 173
12.3.5.1 Focus on pioneering innovation and policy support to drive growth 173
12.3.6 CHINA 175
12.3.6.1 Emphasis on catalyzing innovation and strategic partnerships to drive growth 175
12.3.7 SINGAPORE 176
12.3.7.1 Global innovation in SAF and need for sustainability through strategic collaborations to drive growth 176
12.3.8 REST OF ASIA PACIFIC 178
12.4 EUROPE 180
12.4.1 PESTLE ANALYSIS 182
12.4.2 GERMANY 188
12.4.2.1 Need for scaling national policy and innovation ecosystems to drive growth 188
12.4.3 UK 190
12.4.3.1 Advancing domestic production, policy support, and feedstock innovation to drive growth 190
12.4.4 FRANCE 191
12.4.4.1 Focus on implementing regulatory targets and industrial integration to drive growth 191
12.4.5 DENMARK 193
12.4.5.1 Need for scaling power-to-liquid pathways and national mandates to drive growth 193
12.4.6 FINLAND 195
12.4.6.1 Demand for harnessing bio-refinery innovation and policy alignment to drive growth 195
12.4.7 REST OF EUROPE 196
12.5 MIDDLE EAST 198
12.5.1 PESTLE ANALYSIS 200
12.5.2 UAE 206
12.5.2.1 ‘Vision 2030’ and strategic partnerships to drive growth 206
12.5.3 BAHRAIN 207
12.5.3.1 Government’s commitment to sustainability to drive growth 207
12.5.4 QATAR 209
12.5.4.1 Strategic initiatives and collaborations to drive growth 209
12.6 LATIN AMERICA 211
12.6.1 PESTLE ANALYSIS 212
12.6.2 BRAZIL 218
12.6.2.1 Focus on leveraging biofuel expertise to drive growth 218
12.6.3 MEXICO 219
12.6.3.1 Need for harnessing agricultural strength to drive growth 219
13 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE 222
13.1 INTRODUCTION 222
13.2 KEY PLAYER STRATEGIES/RIGHT TO WIN, 2021–2025 222
13.3 REVENUE ANALYSIS 224
13.4 MARKET SHARE ANALYSIS 225
13.5 COMPANY EVALUATION MATRIX: KEY PLAYERS, 2024 227
13.5.1 STARS 227
13.5.2 EMERGING LEADERS 227
13.5.3 PERVASIVE PLAYERS 227
13.5.4 PARTICIPANTS 227
13.5.5 COMPANY FOOTPRINT: KEY PLAYERS, 2024 229
13.5.5.1 Company footprint 229
13.5.5.2 Blending capacity footprint 230
13.5.5.3 Biofuel conversion pathway footprint 231
13.5.5.4 End user footprint 232
13.5.5.5 Region footprint 233
13.6 COMPANY EVALUATION MATRIX: STARTUPS/SMES, 2024 234
13.6.1 PROGRESSIVE COMPANIES 234
13.6.2 RESPONSIVE COMPANIES 234
13.6.3 DYNAMIC COMPANIES 234
13.6.4 STARTING BLOCKS 234
13.6.5 COMPETITIVE BENCHMARKING 236
13.7 COMPANY VALUATION AND FINANCIAL METRICS 239
13.8 BRAND/PRODUCT COMPARISON 240
13.9 COMPETITIVE SCENARIO 241
13.9.1 DEALS 241
13.9.2 OTHER DEVELOPMENTS 261
14 COMPANY PROFILES 263
14.1 KEY PLAYERS 263
14.1.1 NESTE 263
14.1.1.1 Business overview 263
14.1.1.2 Products/Solutions offered 264
14.1.1.3 Recent developments 265
14.1.1.4 MnM view 266
14.1.1.4.1 Key strengths 266
14.1.1.4.2 Strategic choices 267
14.1.1.4.3 Weaknesses and competitive threats 267
14.1.2 TOTALENERGIES 268
14.1.2.1 Business overview 268
14.1.2.2 Products/Solutions offered 269
14.1.2.3 Recent developments 269
14.1.2.3.1 Other developments 270
14.1.2.4 MnM view 270
14.1.2.4.1 Key strengths 270
14.1.2.4.2 Strategic choices 271
14.1.2.4.3 Weaknesses and competitive threats 271
14.1.3 WORLD ENERGY, LLC 272
14.1.3.1 Business overview 272
14.1.3.2 Products/Solutions/Services offered 272
14.1.3.3 Recent developments 273
14.1.3.4 MnM view 274
14.1.3.4.1 Key strengths 274
14.1.3.4.2 Strategic choices 274
14.1.3.4.3 Weaknesses and competitive threats 274
14.1.4 ENI S.P.A 275
14.1.4.1 Business overview 275
14.1.4.2 Products/Solutions offered 276
14.1.4.3 Recent developments 277
14.1.4.3.1 Other developments 277
14.1.4.4 MnM view 278
14.1.4.4.1 Key strengths 278
14.1.4.4.2 Strategic choices 278
14.1.4.4.3 Weaknesses and competitive threats 278
14.1.5 OMV AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT 279
14.1.5.1 Business overview 279
14.1.5.2 Products/Solutions offered 280
14.1.5.3 Recent developments 281
14.1.5.3.1 Other developments 281
14.1.5.4 MnM view 283
14.1.5.4.1 Key strengths 283
14.1.5.4.2 Strategic choices 283
14.1.5.4.3 Weaknesses and competitive threats 283
14.1.6 SHELL INTERNATIONAL B.V. 284
14.1.6.1 Business overview 284
14.1.6.2 Products/Solutions offered 285
14.1.6.3 Recent developments 286
14.1.7 LANZATECH 288
14.1.7.1 Business overview 288
14.1.7.2 Products/Solutions offered 289
14.1.7.3 Recent developments 290
14.1.8 GEVO 292
14.1.8.1 Business overview 292
14.1.8.2 Products/Solutions offered 293
14.1.8.3 Recent developments 293
14.1.9 VELOCYS LTD. 295
14.1.9.1 Business overview 295
14.1.9.2 Products/Solutions offered 295
14.1.9.3 Recent developments 296
14.1.10 NORTHWEST ADVANCED BIO-FUELS, LLC 297
14.1.10.1 Business overview 297
14.1.10.2 Products/Solutions offered 297
14.1.10.3 Recent developments 297
14.1.10.3.1 Other developments 298
14.1.11 SKYNRG B.V. 299
14.1.11.1 Business overview 299
14.1.11.2 Products/Solutions offered 299
14.1.11.3 Recent developments 300
14.1.12 TOPSOE A/S 301
14.1.12.1 Business overview 301
14.1.12.2 Products/Solutions offered 301
14.1.12.3 Recent developments 302
14.1.13 AEMETIS, INC. 304
14.1.13.1 Business overview 304
14.1.13.2 Products/Solutions offered 304
14.1.13.3 Recent developments 305
14.1.14 WORLD KINECT CORPORATION 307
14.1.14.1 Business overview 307
14.1.14.2 Products/Solutions offered 308
14.1.14.3 Recent developments 308
14.1.14.3.1 Other developments 309
14.1.15 PHILLIPS 66 COMPANY 310
14.1.15.1 Business overview 310
14.1.15.2 Products/Solutions offered 311
14.1.15.3 Recent developments 311
14.1.15.3.1 Other developments 311
14.1.16 ALDER ENERGY, LLC 312
14.1.16.1 Business overview 312
14.1.16.2 Products/Solutions offered 312
14.1.16.3 Recent developments 313
14.1.16.3.1 Other developments 313
14.1.17 MOEVE 314
14.1.17.1 Business overview 314
14.1.17.2 Products/Solutions offered 314
14.1.17.3 Recent developments 314
14.1.17.3.1 Other developments 315
14.1.18 PREEM AB 316
14.1.18.1 Business overview 316
14.1.18.2 Products/Solutions offered 316
14.1.18.3 Recent developments 317
14.1.18.3.1 Other developments 317
14.1.19 BP P.L.C. 318
14.1.19.1 Business overview 318
14.1.19.2 Products/Solutions offered 319
14.1.19.3 Recent developments 319
14.1.19.3.1 Other developments 320
14.1.20 REPSOL 321
14.1.20.1 Business overview 321
14.1.20.2 Products/Solutions offered 322
14.1.20.3 Recent developments 322
14.2 OTHER PLAYERS 323
14.2.1 ATMOSFAIR GMBH 323
14.2.2 SAF PLUS INTERNATIONAL GROUP 324
14.2.3 CEMVITA 324
14.2.4 DG FUELS, LLC 325
14.2.5 WASTEFUEL 325
14.2.6 RED ROCK BIOFUELS 326
14.2.7 AIR COMPANY HOLDINGS INC 327
14.2.8 DIMENSIONAL ENERGY 327
14.2.9 VIRENT, INC. 328
14.2.10 SGP BIOENERGY HOLDINGS, LLC 329
15 APPENDIX 330
15.1 DISCUSSION GUIDE 330
15.2 ANNEXURE 333
15.3 KNOWLEDGESTORE: MARKETSANDMARKETS’ SUBSCRIPTION PORTAL 336
15.4 CUSTOMIZATION OPTIONS 338
15.5 RELATED REPORTS 338
15.6 AUTHOR DETAILS 339
LIST OF TABLES
TABLE 1 USD EXCHANGE RATES, 2021–2024 32
TABLE 2 KEY ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATIONS DRIVING SAF MARKET 53
TABLE 3 REGION-WISE CHALLENGES TO FEEDSTOCK AVAILABILITY 55
TABLE 4 ROLE OF COMPANIES IN MARKET ECOSYSTEM 62
TABLE 5 NORTH AMERICA: REGULATORY BODIES, GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, AND OTHER ORGANIZATIONS 63
TABLE 6 EUROPE: REGULATORY BODIES, GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, AND OTHER ORGANIZATIONS 64
TABLE 7 ASIA PACIFIC: REGULATORY BODIES, GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, AND OTHER ORGANIZATIONS 64
TABLE 8 MIDDLE EAST: REGULATORY BODIES, GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, AND OTHER ORGANIZATIONS 65
TABLE 9 LATIN AMERICA: REGULATORY BODIES, GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, AND OTHER ORGANIZATIONS 65
TABLE 10 IMPORT DATA FOR HS CODE 3826-COMPLIANT PRODUCTS, BY COUNTRY,
2020–2024 (USD THOUSAND) 70
TABLE 11 EXPORT DATA FOR HS CODE 3826-COMPLIANT PRODUCTS, BY COUNTRY, 2020–2024 (USD THOUSAND) 72
TABLE 12 COST CONTRIBUTION OF SAF SUPPLY CHAIN ELEMENTS, 2024 VS. 2030 72
TABLE 13 SAF CONSUMPTION VOLUME, BY REGION, 2021–2030 78
TABLE 14 SAF OFFTAKE AGREEMENTS PER FUEL PRODUCER, 2013–2025 (MILLION LITERS) 78
TABLE 15 SAF OFFTAKE AGREEMENTS PER FUEL PURCHASER,
2013–2025 (MILLION LITERS) 79
TABLE 16 IN-SERVICE FACILITIES PRODUCING SAF, BY COUNTRY,
2017–2025 (BILLION LITERS/YEAR) 80
TABLE 17 IN-SERVICE FACILITIES PRODUCING SAF, BY COMPANY,
2017–2025 (BILLION LITERS/YEAR) 81
TABLE 18 INFLUENCE OF STAKEHOLDERS ON BUYING PROCESS, BY END USER (%) 82
TABLE 19 KEY BUYING CRITERIA, BY END USER 83
TABLE 20 KEY CONFERENCES & EVENTS, 2025 85
TABLE 21 AVERAGE SELLING PRICE, BY BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY,
2021–2024 (USD/GALLON) 89
TABLE 22 AVERAGE SELLING PRICE TREND, BY REGION, 2021–2024 (USD/GALLON) 90
TABLE 23 INDICATIVE PRICING LEVELS OF SAF, BY KEY PLAYER, 2024 (USD/GALLON) 91
TABLE 24 AVERAGE CONSUMPTION AND EMISSIONS OF JET FUEL AND SAF 92
TABLE 25 COMPARISON BETWEEN BUSINESS MODELS 100
TABLE 26 MAJOR PATENTS FILED, 2021–2025 109
TABLE 27 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 113
TABLE 28 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 114
TABLE 29 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FISCHER-TROPSCH,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 114
TABLE 30 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FISCHER-TROPSCH,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 114
TABLE 31 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY HYDROPROCESSED ESTERS AND FATTY ACID, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 115
TABLE 32 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY HYDROPROCESSED ESTERS AND FATTY ACID, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 115
TABLE 33 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY ALCOHOL-TO-JET,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 115
TABLE 34 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY ALCOHOL-TO-JET,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 116
TABLE 35 FISCHER-TROPSCH SYNTHETIC PARAFFINIC KEROSENE (FT-SPK): OVERVIEW 117
TABLE 36 FISCHER-TROPSCH SYNTHETIC PARAFFINIC KEROSENE WITH AROMATICS
(FT-SPK/A): OVERVIEW 118
TABLE 37 HYDROPROCESSED ESTERS AND FATTY ACIDS – SYNTHETIC PARAFFINIC KEROSENE (HEFA-SPK): OVERVIEW 119
TABLE 38 HIGH-HYDROGEN CONTENT SYNTHETIC PARAFFINIC KEROSENE (HHC-SPK): OVERVIEW 120
TABLE 39 SYNTHETIC ISO-PARAFFIN FROM FERMENTED HYDROPROCESSED SUGAR (SIP): OVERVIEW 121
TABLE 40 ALCOHOL-TO-JET SYNTHETIC PARAFFINIC KEROSENE (ATJ-SPK): OVERVIEW 122
TABLE 41 ALCOHOL-TO-JET SYNTHETIC KEROSENE WITH AROMATICS (ATJ-SKA): OVERVIEW 123
TABLE 42 CATALYTIC HYDROTHERMOLYSIS JET (CHJ): OVERVIEW 124
TABLE 43 CO-PROCESSING: OVERVIEW 125
TABLE 44 LIST OF BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAYS UNDER EVALUATION 125
TABLE 45 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 127
TABLE 46 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 127
TABLE 47 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY END USER, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 131
TABLE 48 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY END USER, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 131
TABLE 49 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY AIRLINER, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 132
TABLE 50 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY AIRLINER, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 132
TABLE 51 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 135
TABLE 52 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 136
TABLE 53 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY AIRCRAFT TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 139
TABLE 54 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY AIRCRAFT TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 140
TABLE 55 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY REGION, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 147
TABLE 56 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY REGION, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 147
TABLE 57 SAF INITIATIVES UNDERTAKEN IN NORTH AMERICA 150
TABLE 58 NORTH AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY COUNTRY,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 153
TABLE 59 NORTH AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY COUNTRY,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 154
TABLE 60 NORTH AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 154
TABLE 61 NORTH AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 154
TABLE 62 NORTH AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 155
TABLE 63 NORTH AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 155
TABLE 64 NORTH AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 155
TABLE 65 NORTH AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 156
TABLE 66 NORTH AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY AIRCRAFT TYPE, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 156
TABLE 67 NORTH AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY AIRCRAFT TYPE, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 156
TABLE 68 US: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 157
TABLE 69 US: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 157
TABLE 70 US: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 158
TABLE 71 US: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 158
TABLE 72 CANADA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 159
TABLE 73 CANADA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 159
TABLE 74 CANADA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 159
TABLE 75 CANADA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 160
TABLE 76 SAF INITIATIVES UNDERTAKEN IN ASIA PACIFIC 161
TABLE 77 ASIA PACIFIC: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY COUNTRY,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 165
TABLE 78 ASIA PACIFIC: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY COUNTRY,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 165
TABLE 79 ASIA PACIFIC: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 165
TABLE 80 ASIA PACIFIC: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 166
TABLE 81 ASIA PACIFIC: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 166
TABLE 82 ASIA PACIFIC: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 166
TABLE 83 ASIA PACIFIC: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 167
TABLE 84 ASIA PACIFIC: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 167
TABLE 85 ASIA PACIFIC: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY AIRCRAFT TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 167
TABLE 86 ASIA PACIFIC: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY AIRCRAFT TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 168
TABLE 87 INDIA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 168
TABLE 88 INDIA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 169
TABLE 89 INDIA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 169
TABLE 90 INDIA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 169
TABLE 91 AUSTRALIA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 170
TABLE 92 AUSTRALIA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 170
TABLE 93 AUSTRALIA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 171
TABLE 94 AUSTRALIA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 171
TABLE 95 SOUTH KOREA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 172
TABLE 96 SOUTH KOREA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 172
TABLE 97 SOUTH KOREA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 172
TABLE 98 SOUTH KOREA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 173
TABLE 99 JAPAN: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 173
TABLE 100 JAPAN: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 174
TABLE 101 JAPAN: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 174
TABLE 102 JAPAN: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 174
TABLE 103 CHINA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 175
TABLE 104 CHINA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 175
TABLE 105 CHINA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 176
TABLE 106 CHINA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 176
TABLE 107 SINGAPORE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 177
TABLE 108 SINGAPORE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 177
TABLE 109 SINGAPORE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 177
TABLE 110 SINGAPORE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 178
TABLE 111 REST OF ASIA PACIFIC: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 178
TABLE 112 REST OF ASIA PACIFIC: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 179
TABLE 113 REST OF ASIA PACIFIC: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 179
TABLE 114 REST OF ASIA PACIFIC: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 179
TABLE 115 SAF INITIATIVES UNDERTAKEN IN EUROPE 181
TABLE 116 EUROPE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY COUNTRY,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 185
TABLE 117 EUROPE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY COUNTRY,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 185
TABLE 118 EUROPE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 185
TABLE 119 EUROPE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 186
TABLE 120 EUROPE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 186
TABLE 121 EUROPE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 186
TABLE 122 EUROPE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 187
TABLE 123 EUROPE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 187
TABLE 124 EUROPE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY AIRCRAFT TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 187
TABLE 125 EUROPE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY AIRCRAFT TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 188
TABLE 126 GERMANY: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 188
TABLE 127 GERMANY: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 189
TABLE 128 GERMANY: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 189
TABLE 129 GERMANY: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 189
TABLE 130 UK: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 190
TABLE 131 UK: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 190
TABLE 132 UK: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 191
TABLE 133 UK: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 191
TABLE 134 FRANCE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 192
TABLE 135 FRANCE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 192
TABLE 136 FRANCE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 192
TABLE 137 FRANCE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 193
TABLE 138 DENMARK: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 193
TABLE 139 DENMARK: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 194
TABLE 140 DENMARK: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 194
TABLE 141 DENMARK: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 194
TABLE 142 FINLAND: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 195
TABLE 143 FINLAND: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 195
TABLE 144 FINLAND: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 196
TABLE 145 FINLAND: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 196
TABLE 146 REST OF EUROPE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 197
TABLE 147 REST OF EUROPE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 197
TABLE 148 REST OF EUROPE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 197
TABLE 149 REST OF EUROPE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 198
TABLE 150 SAF INITIATIVES UNDERTAKEN IN MIDDLE EAST 199
TABLE 151 MIDDLE EAST: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY COUNTRY,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 202
TABLE 152 MIDDLE EAST: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY COUNTRY,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 203
TABLE 153 MIDDLE EAST: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 203
TABLE 154 MIDDLE EAST: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 203
TABLE 155 MIDDLE EAST: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 204
TABLE 156 MIDDLE EAST: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 204
TABLE 157 MIDDLE EAST: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 204
TABLE 158 MIDDLE EAST: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 205
TABLE 159 MIDDLE EAST: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY AIRCRAFT TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 205
TABLE 160 MIDDLE EAST: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY AIRCRAFT TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 205
TABLE 161 UAE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 206
TABLE 162 UAE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 206
TABLE 163 UAE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION 207
TABLE 164 UAE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 207
TABLE 165 BAHRAIN: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 208
TABLE 166 BAHRAIN: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 208
TABLE 167 BAHRAIN: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 208
TABLE 168 BAHRAIN: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 209
TABLE 169 QATAR: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 209
TABLE 170 QATAR: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 210
TABLE 171 QATAR: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 210
TABLE 172 QATAR: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 210
TABLE 173 SAF INITIATIVES UNDERTAKEN IN LATIN AMERICA 211
TABLE 174 LATIN AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY COUNTRY,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 214
TABLE 175 LATIN AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY COUNTRY,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 215
TABLE 176 LATIN AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 215
TABLE 177 LATIN AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 215
TABLE 178 LATIN AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 216
TABLE 179 LATIN AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 216
TABLE 180 LATIN AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 216
TABLE 181 LATIN AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 217
TABLE 182 LATIN AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY AIRCRAFT TYPE, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 217
TABLE 183 LATIN AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY AIRCRAFT TYPE, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 217
TABLE 184 BRAZIL: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 218
TABLE 185 BRAZIL: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 218
TABLE 186 BRAZIL: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 219
TABLE 187 BRAZIL: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 219
TABLE 188 MEXICO: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 220
TABLE 189 MEXICO: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY FUEL TYPE,
2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 220
TABLE 190 MEXICO: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 220
TABLE 191 MEXICO: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET, BY BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY, 2025–2030 (USD MILLION) 221
TABLE 192 KEY PLAYER STRATEGIES/RIGHT TO WIN, 2021–2025 222
TABLE 193 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET: DEGREE OF COMPETITION 225
TABLE 194 BIOFUEL BLENDING CAPACITY FOOTPRINT 230
TABLE 195 BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY FOOTPRINT 231
TABLE 196 END USER FOOTPRINT 232
TABLE 197 REGION FOOTPRINT 233
TABLE 198 DETAILED LIST OF STARTUPS/SMES 236
TABLE 199 COMPETITIVE BENCHMARKING OF STARTUPS/SMES 237
TABLE 200 COMPETITIVE BENCHMARKING OF STARTUPS/SMES (REGION) 238
TABLE 201 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET: DEALS, JUNE 2020–APRIL 2025 241
TABLE 202 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS,
JUNE 2020–APRIL 2025 261
TABLE 203 NESTE: COMPANY OVERVIEW 263
TABLE 204 NESTE: DEALS 265
TABLE 205 TOTALENERGIES: COMPANY OVERVIEW 268
TABLE 206 TOTALENERGIES: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 269
TABLE 207 TOTALENERGIES: DEALS 269
TABLE 208 TOTALENERGIES: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS 270
TABLE 209 WORLD ENERGY, LLC: COMPANY OVERVIEW 272
TABLE 210 WORLD ENERGY, LLC: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 272
TABLE 211 WORLD ENERGY, LLC: DEALS 273
TABLE 212 ENI: COMPANY OVERVIEW 275
TABLE 213 ENI: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 276
TABLE 214 ENI: DEALS 277
TABLE 215 ENI: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS 277
TABLE 216 OMV AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT: COMPANY OVERVIEW 279
TABLE 217 OMV AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 280
TABLE 218 OMV AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT: DEALS 281
TABLE 219 OMV AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS 281
TABLE 220 SHELL: COMPANY OVERVIEW 284
TABLE 221 SHELL: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 285
TABLE 222 SHELL: DEALS 286
TABLE 223 LANZATECH: COMPANY OVERVIEW 288
TABLE 224 LANZATECH: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 289
TABLE 225 LANZATECH: DEALS 290
TABLE 226 GEVO: COMPANY OVERVIEW 292
TABLE 227 GEVO: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 293
TABLE 228 GEVO: DEALS 293
TABLE 229 VELOCYS PLC: COMPANY OVERVIEW 295
TABLE 230 VELOCYS PLC: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 295
TABLE 231 VELOCYS PLC: DEALS 296
TABLE 232 NORTHWEST ADVANCED BIO-FUELS, LLC: COMPANY OVERVIEW 297
TABLE 233 NORTHWEST ADVANCED BIO-FUELS, LLC: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 297
TABLE 234 NORTHWEST ADVANCED BIO-FUELS, LLC: DEALS 297
TABLE 235 NORTHWEST ADVANCED BIO-FUELS, LLC: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS 298
TABLE 236 SKYNRG B.V.: COMPANY OVERVIEW 299
TABLE 237 SKYNRG B.V.: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 299
TABLE 238 SKYNRG B.V.: DEALS 300
TABLE 239 TOPSOE A/S: COMPANY OVERVIEW 301
TABLE 240 TOPSOE A/S: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 301
TABLE 241 TOPSOE A/S: DEALS 302
TABLE 242 AEMETIS, INC.: COMPANY OVERVIEW 304
TABLE 243 AEMETIS, INC.: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 304
TABLE 244 AEMETIS, INC.: DEALS 305
TABLE 245 WORLD KINECT CORPORATION: COMPANY OVERVIEW 307
TABLE 246 WORLD KINECT CORPORATION: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 308
TABLE 247 WORLD KINECT CORPORATION: DEALS 308
TABLE 248 WORLD KINECT CORPORATION: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS 309
TABLE 249 PHILLIPS 66 COMPANY: COMPANY OVERVIEW 310
TABLE 250 PHILLIPS 66 COMPANY: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 311
TABLE 251 PHILLIPS 66 COMPANY: DEALS 311
TABLE 252 PHILLIPS 66 COMPANY: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS 311
TABLE 253 ALDER ENERGY, LLC: COMPANY OVERVIEW 312
TABLE 254 ALDER ENERGY, LLC: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 312
TABLE 255 ALDER ENERGY, LLC: DEALS 313
TABLE 256 ALDER ENERGY, LLC: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS 313
TABLE 257 MOEVE: COMPANY OVERVIEW 314
TABLE 258 MOEVE: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 314
TABLE 259 MOEVE: DEALS 314
TABLE 260 MOEVE: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS 315
TABLE 261 PREEM AB: COMPANY OVERVIEW 316
TABLE 262 PREEM AB: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 316
TABLE 263 PREEM AB: DEALS 317
TABLE 264 PREEM AB: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS 317
TABLE 265 BP P.L.C.: COMPANY OVERVIEW 318
TABLE 266 BP P.L.C.: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 319
TABLE 267 BP P.L.C.: DEALS 319
TABLE 268 BP P.L.C.: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS 320
TABLE 269 REPSOL: COMPANY OVERVIEW 321
TABLE 270 REPSOL: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED 322
TABLE 271 REPSOL: DEALS 322
LIST OF FIGURES
FIGURE 1 RESEARCH FLOW 34
FIGURE 2 RESEARCH DESIGN 35
FIGURE 3 BOTTOM-UP APPROACH 40
FIGURE 4 TOP-DOWN APPROACH 40
FIGURE 5 DATA TRIANGULATION 41
FIGURE 6 BIOFUEL SEGMENT TO LEAD MARKET DURING FORECAST PERIOD 44
FIGURE 7 COMMERCIAL AVIATION SEGMENT TO LEAD MARKET IN 2025 45
FIGURE 8 AIRLINER SEGMENT TO ACCOUNT FOR LARGEST SHARE IN 2025 45
FIGURE 9 NORTH AMERICA TO ACCOUNT FOR LARGEST SHARE IN 2025 46
FIGURE 10 INCREASING ADVANCEMENTS IN SAF TECHNOLOGIES TO DRIVE MARKET 47
FIGURE 11 AIRLINER SEGMENT TO LEAD MARKET IN 2025 47
FIGURE 12 COMMERCIAL AVIATION SEGMENT TO ACCOUNT FOR LARGEST SHARE IN 2025 48
FIGURE 13 BIOFUEL SEGMENT TO LEAD MARKET IN 2025 48
FIGURE 14 CANADA TO ACHIEVE HIGHEST CAGR DURING FORECAST PERIOD 49
FIGURE 15 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET: DRIVERS, RESTRAINTS, OPPORTUNITIES, AND CHALLENGES 50
FIGURE 16 LIFECYCLE GREENHOUSE EMISSIONS BY SAFS IN GREET 52
FIGURE 17 COMPARISON BETWEEN SUPPLY OF AND DEMAND FOR SAF, 2020–2040 (MMT) 56
FIGURE 18 CO2 EMISSIONS ACROSS DIFFERENT AVIATION FUELS 57
FIGURE 19 CARBON FOOTPRINT OF GLOBAL AVIATION INDUSTRY ACROSS FOUR SCENARIOS, 2011–2040 (MMT) 58
FIGURE 20 TRENDS AND DISRUPTIONS IMPACTING CUSTOMER BUSINESS 61
FIGURE 21 ECOSYSTEM ANALYSIS 62
FIGURE 22 IMPORT DATA FOR HS CODE 3826-COMPLIANT PRODUCTS, BY COUNTRY,
2020–2024 (USD THOUSAND) 70
FIGURE 23 EXPORT DATA FOR HS CODE 3826-COMPLIANT PRODUCTS, BY COUNTRY,
2020–2024 (USD THOUSAND) 71
FIGURE 24 SAF PRODUCTION VOLUME, 2015–2024 (MILLION LITERS) 80
FIGURE 25 INFLUENCE OF STAKEHOLDERS ON BUYING PROCESS, BY END USER 82
FIGURE 26 KEY BUYING CRITERIA, BY END USER 83
FIGURE 27 VIRENT’S BIOFORMING PROCESS FLOWCHART 86
FIGURE 28 AVERAGE SELLING PRICE, BY BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY,
2021–2024 (USD/GALLON) 88
FIGURE 29 AVERAGE SELLING PRICE TREND, BY REGION, 2021–2024 (USD/GALLON) 90
FIGURE 30 VOLUME AND PRICE OF JET FUEL AND SAF, 2021–2030 92
FIGURE 31 INVESTMENT AND FUNDING SCENARIO, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 94
FIGURE 32 IMPACT OF AI/GEN AI 95
FIGURE 33 TOTAL COST OF OWNERSHIP (TCO) OF SAF 98
FIGURE 34 COMPARISON BETWEEN TCO OF SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL TYPES 99
FIGURE 35 BUSINESS MODELS 99
FIGURE 36 EVOLUTION OF TECHNOLOGY 101
FIGURE 37 TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP (2020–2035) 101
FIGURE 38 ETHANOL-TO-JET (ETJ) TECHNOLOGY 103
FIGURE 39 ADVANCED GASIFICATION 103
FIGURE 40 FT UNICRACKING 104
FIGURE 41 SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS 108
FIGURE 42 DETAILED ILLUSTRATION OF SAF SUPPLY CHAIN 109
FIGURE 43 TOP TEN PATENT APPLICANTS, 2015–2025 111
FIGURE 44 HYDROPROCESSED ESTERS AND FATTY ACIDS (HEFA) SEGMENT TO LEAD MARKET DURING FORECAST PERIOD 113
FIGURE 45 FISCHER-TROPSCH SYNTHETIC PARAFFINIC KEROSENE (FT-SPK) BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY: SNAPSHOT 116
FIGURE 46 FISCHER-TROPSCH SYNTHETIC PARAFFINIC KEROSENE WITH AROMATICS
(FT-SPK/A) BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY: SNAPSHOT 117
FIGURE 47 HYDROPROCESSED ESTERS AND FATTY ACIDS – SYNTHETIC PARAFFINIC KEROSENE (HEFA-SPK) BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY: SNAPSHOT 119
FIGURE 48 HIGH-HYDROGEN CONTENT SYNTHETIC PARAFFINIC KEROSENE (HHC-SPK) BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY: SNAPSHOT 120
FIGURE 49 SYNTHETIC ISO-PARAFFIN FROM FERMENTED HYDROPROCESSED SUGAR (SIP) BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY: SNAPSHOT 121
FIGURE 50 ALCOHOL-TO-JET SYNTHETIC PARAFFINIC KEROSENE (ATJ-SPK) BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY: SNAPSHOT 122
FIGURE 51 ALCOHOL-TO-JET SYNTHETIC KEROSENE WITH AROMATICS (ATJ-SKA) BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY: SNAPSHOT 123
FIGURE 52 CATALYTIC HYDROTHERMOLYSIS JET (CHJ) BIOFUEL CONVERSION PATHWAY: SNAPSHOT 124
FIGURE 53 BELOW 30% SEGMENT TO LEAD MARKET DURING FORECAST PERIOD 127
FIGURE 54 AIRLINER SEGMENT TO LEAD MARKET DURING FORECAST PERIOD 131
FIGURE 55 BIOFUEL SEGMENT TO LEAD MARKET DURING FORECAST PERIOD 135
FIGURE 56 COMMERCIAL AVIATION SEGMENT TO LEAD MARKET DURING FORECAST PERIOD 139
FIGURE 57 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET: REGIONAL SNAPSHOT 146
FIGURE 58 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET: SAF INITIATIVES AND MANDATES
(BY COUNTRY) 148
FIGURE 59 NORTH AMERICA: SAF OFFTAKE AGREEMENTS, 2021–2024 (MILLION LITERS) 149
FIGURE 60 NORTH AMERICA: KEY SAF PRODUCERS, FUNDING AGENCIES, KEY SAF PATHWAYS, AND RAW MATERIALS INVOLVED 151
FIGURE 61 NORTH AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET SNAPSHOT 153
FIGURE 62 ASIA PACIFIC: SAF OFFTAKE AGREEMENTS, 2021–2024 (MILLION LITERS) 160
FIGURE 63 ASIA PACIFIC: KEY SAF PRODUCERS, FUNDING AGENCIES, KEY SAF PATHWAYS, AND RAW MATERIALS INVOLVED 162
FIGURE 64 ASIA PACIFIC: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET SNAPSHOT 164
FIGURE 65 EUROPE: SAF OFFTAKE AGREEMENTS, 2021–2024 (MILLION LITERS) 180
FIGURE 66 EUROPE: KEY SAF PRODUCERS, FUNDING AGENCIES, KEY SAF PATHWAYS,
AND RAW MATERIALS INVOLVED 182
FIGURE 67 EUROPE: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET SNAPSHOT 184
FIGURE 68 MIDDLE EAST: SAF OFFTAKE AGREEMENTS, 2021–2024 (MILLION LITERS) 198
FIGURE 69 MIDDLE EAST: KEY SAF PRODUCERS, FUNDING AGENCIES, KEY SAF PATHWAYS, AND RAW MATERIALS INVOLVED 199
FIGURE 70 MIDDLE EAST: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET SNAPSHOT 202
FIGURE 71 LATIN AMERICA: SAF OFFTAKE AGREEMENTS, 2021–2024 (MILLION LITERS) 211
FIGURE 72 LATIN AMERICA: KEY SAF PRODUCERS, FUNDING AGENCIES, KEY SAF PATHWAYS, AND RAW MATERIALS INVOLVED 212
FIGURE 73 LATIN AMERICA: SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET SNAPSHOT 214
FIGURE 74 REVENUE ANALYSIS OF TOP FIVE PLAYERS, 2021–2024 (USD MILLION) 224
FIGURE 75 MARKET SHARE ANALYSIS OF KEY PLAYERS, 2024 225
FIGURE 76 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET: COMPANY EVALUATION MATRIX
(KEY PLAYERS), 2024 228
FIGURE 77 COMPANY FOOTPRINT 229
FIGURE 78 SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL MARKET: COMPANY EVALUATION MATRIX (STARTUPS/SMES), 2024 235
FIGURE 79 FINANCIAL METRICS, 2025 239
FIGURE 80 VALUATION OF PROMINENT MARKET PLAYERS, 2025 (USD BILLION) 239
FIGURE 81 BRAND/PRODUCT COMPARISON 240
FIGURE 82 NESTE: COMPANY SNAPSHOT 264
FIGURE 83 TOTALENERGIES: COMPANY SNAPSHOT 268
FIGURE 84 ENI: COMPANY SNAPSHOT 276
FIGURE 85 OMV AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT: COMPANY SNAPSHOT 280
FIGURE 86 SHELL: COMPANY SNAPSHOT 285
FIGURE 87 LANZATECH: COMPANY SNAPSHOT 288
FIGURE 88 GEVO: COMPANY SNAPSHOT 292
FIGURE 89 WORLD KINECT CORPORATION: COMPANY SNAPSHOT 307
FIGURE 90 PHILLIPS 66 COMPANY: COMPANY SNAPSHOT 310
FIGURE 91 BP P.L.C.: COMPANY SNAPSHOT 318
FIGURE 92 REPSOL: COMPANY SNAPSHOT 321
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