CBDCとステーブルコイン 2023-2030年

出版:Juniper Research(ジュニパーリサーチ) 出版年月:2023年3月

CBDC & Stablecoins: Key Opportunities, Regional Analysis & Market Forecasts 2023-2030
CBDCとステーブルコイン:重要機会、地域別分析、市場予測 2023-2030年

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Juniper Research(ジュニパーリサーチ)「CBDCとステーブルコイン:重要機会、地域別分析、市場予測 2023-2030年 – CBDC & Stablecoins: Key Opportunities, Regional Analysis & Market Forecasts 2023-2030」はCBDCとステーブルコイン市場を調査し、詳細な分析・予測結果を提供しています。

Report Overview

Juniper Research’s new CBDCs & Stablecoins research provides in-depth analysis and evaluation of how these new payment system risk types are being developed and commercialised within financial markets; delivering critical insights on how they will change business models in payments, key vendors driving the evolution of the market and the future prospects for these payment types of digital assets. It provides an evaluation of the development of CBDCs (Central Bank Digital Currencies) and stablecoins across 19 different key countries of interest. The study also contains the Juniper Research Competitor Leaderboard; positioning 15 key CBDCs platform vendors.

The research delivers incisive analysis of a range of factors of how both CBDCs and types of stablecoins will be leveraged across the domestic and cross-border payments markets; highlighting the current market status, key pain points in existing processes and the most critical opportunities for vendors to seize. It also features a comprehensive forecast suite; encompassing stablecoin and CBDC usage for payments across a range of segments:

  • Cross-border B2B Transactions
  • Cross-border Consumer Transactions
  • Domestic B2B Transactions
  • Domestic Consumer Transactions

This research suite comprises:

  • Market Trends & Strategies (PDF)
  • Competitor Leaderboard (PDF)
  • Data & Forecasts (PDF & Excel)
  • 12 Months’ Access to harvest Online Data Platform
Key Market Statistics – Value of Payments Via CBDCs
Market Size in 2023:$100mn
Market Size in 2030:$213bn
2023 to 2030 Market Growth:260,000%

KEY FEATURES

  • Market Dynamics: Insights into key trends and market expansion challenges within the development of CBDCs and stablecoins; addressing challenges and financial stability risks posed by the highly technical nature of developing new payment schemes, the potential benefits of new system roll-outs, and analysing use cases. This research also includes a regional analysis on the development level and future prospects for CBDC and stablecoin development in 19 key countries.
  • Key Takeaways & Strategic Recommendations: Key opportunities for vendors highlighted across the CBDC and stablecoin issuers’ landscape; making for an important reading for key stakeholders with key stablecoins statistics.
  • Benchmark Industry Forecasts: 8-year forecasts are provided for transaction volume and value of stablecoin and CBDC payments, including splits by domestic versus cross-border, and by consumer versus B2B. The data is also split by our 8 key forecast regions and 60 countries:
    • North America:
      • Canada, US
    • Latin America:
      • Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru, Uruguay
    • West Europe:
      • Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UK
    • Central & East Europe:
      • Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Russia, Turkey, Ukraine
    • Far East & China:
      • China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea
    • Indian Subcontinent:
      • Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan
    • Rest of Asia Pacific:
      • Australia, Indonesia, Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam
    • Africa & Middle East:
      • Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Kenya, Kuwait, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, United Arab Emirates
    • Juniper Research Competitor Leaderboard: Key player capability and capacity assessment for 15 CBDC platform vendors, via the Juniper Research Competitor Leaderboard, featuring the following financial institutions:
      • BITT
      • Consensys
      • eCurrency
      • FIS
      • G+D
      • Hashcash Consultants
      • IDEMIA
      • Industria
      • Mastercard
      • Nahmii
      • Nchain
      • R3
      • Ripple
      • Soramitsu
      • Stellar
KEY QUESTIONS ANSWERED
  1. Which areas of the market will show the most activity up to 2030?
  2. Which payment area will be impacted by stablecoins and CBDCs the most and why?
  3. Who are the leading vendors in the CBDC space and what are they doing successfully?
  4. What is the value of total transactions using stablecoin and CBDC predicted to be by 2030?
  5. What challenges will the market and its stakeholders face over the next 8 years?
COMPANIES REFERENCED

Interviewed: FIS, G+D, IDEMIA.

Case Studied: SWIFT.

Included in Juniper Research Competitor Leaderboard: Bitt, ConsenSys, eCurrency, FIS, G+D, HashCash Consultants, IDEMIA, INDUSTRIA, Mastercard, Nahmii, Nchain, R3, Ripple, Soramitsu, Stellar.

Mentioned: 2C2P, Aave, Alibaba, Altplus, Ant Group, APPG Blockchain, Aselsan, Asian Development Bank, AWS, B3i, Banco do Brazil, Banco Santander, Bank Negara Malaysia, Bank of Ayudhya, Bank of Canada, Bank of England, Bank of Ghana, Bank of Japan, Bank of Lao PDR, Bank of Thailand, Banque de France, BIS (Bank for International Settlements), BitPay, Bitrust, CAC, Camunda, Capitual, CBRT (Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey), Celo, Cenfri, Central Bank of Eswatini, Central Bank of Nigeria, Central Bank of the Bahamas, Central Bank of the United Arab Emirates, Cipher, Circle, ClearSale, Crunchfish, CTC, Dalio Philanthropies, DataCook, Dell, DepositBook, DLA Piper, Domineum Blockchain Solutions, Eastern Caribbean Central Bank, e-on, Fabraban, Federal Reserve, Finteum, Fireblocks, Flourish, Fundação CPQD, Glocom, Goldman Sachs, Havelsan, Hitachi, Honda, Hong Kong Monetary Authority , Huawei, ICICI Bank, IDFC First Bank, Indetail, Indra, Information Security Research Center, INTEC, Intellect, Itaú Unibanco , ITU, JCB, JD.com, KBC, KDDI, LVL, McDonald’s, Mercado Bitcoin, Microsoft, MoneyGram, National Bank of Kazakhstan, NBU (National Bank of Ukraine), Nesi, Nium, Norges Bank, NS Solutions, NTT Data, NYDIG, Odakyu, Ohken, Oliver Wyman, Optage, Orrick, Panasonic, Paylogic, People’s Bank of China, Poste Italiane, Quniqa, Radicle Impact, Rakuten, Rebalance Earth, Reserve Bank of Australia, Riksbank, Royal Monetary Authority of Bhutan, RTCore, Samsung, SARB (South African Reserve Bank) , SCSK, Shyft, Siam Commercial Bank, SNB (Swiss National Bank), Société Générale, Soft Space, Sony Financial Holdings, South African Reserve Bank, Standard Bank, Starbucks, State Bank of India, Swedbank, Swiss National Bank, Swiss Re, Sybrin, TecBan, Tencent, Tokuda Bank, Toppan, Tranglo, Travelex Bank, Tubitak Bilgem, UniCredit, Union of Arab Banks, UnionPay, Unisys, Vert, Visa, Wells Fargo, Wirex, Yes Bank.

DATA & INTERACTIVE FORECAST

Key Market Forecast Splits
The forecast suite provides transaction volumes, values and potential savings to end users from the use of stablecoins and CBDCs. Data is split by CBDCs and stablecoins, and by the following segments:

  • Cross-border B2B Transactions
  • Cross-border Consumer Transactions
  • Domestic B2BTransactions
  • Domestic Consumer Transactions

Geographical splits: 60 countries
Number of tables: 195 tables
Number of datapoints: Over 53,300 datapoints

harvest: Our online data platform, harvest, contains the very latest market data and is updated throughout the year. This is a fully featured platform enabling clients to better understand key data trends and manipulate charts and tables; overlaying different forecasts within the one chart – using the comparison tool. Empower your business with our market intelligence centre, and receive alerts whenever your data is updated.

Interactive Excels (IFxl): Our IFxl tool enables clients to manipulate both forecast data and charts, within an Excel environment, to test their own assumptions using the interactive scenario tool and compare selected markets side by side in customised charts and tables. IFxls greatly increase a client’s ability to both understand a particular market and to integrate their own views into the model.

FORECAST SUMMARY

  • The value of payments via CBDCs will reach $213 billion annually by 2030, up from just $100 million in 2023. This radical growth of over 260,000%, reflects the early stage of the sector, currently limited to pilot projects.
  • Adoption will be driven by governments leveraging CBDCs to boost financial inclusion and to increase their control over how digital payments are made. CBDCs will increase access to digital payments in emerging economies in particular, where mobile penetration is significantly higher than banking penetration.
  • By 2030, 92% of the total value transacted via CBDCs will be paid domestically. This reflects a change from almost 100% during the current pilot stages, as of 2023. As CBDCs are issued by central banks, they will be closely targeted at domestic payment challenges initially, with cross-border payments coming later, as systems become established and links are made between CBDCs used by individual countries.
  • While cross-border payments are currently have high costs and slow transaction speeds, this area is not the focus of CBDC development. As CBDC adoption will be very country specific, it will be incumbent on cross-border payment networks to link schemes together, allowing the wider payments industry to benefit from CBDCs.
  • A lack of commercial product development around CBDCs is a key limiting factor for the current market, with few well-defined platforms for central banks to leverage. Prospective CBDC platform providers should develop a full end-to-end solution, including wholesale capabilities, wallet provision and merchant acceptance, in order to enable the potential of CBDCs to be realised.

レポート構成&価格表

フルセットGBP3,750
  • 競合スコアボードレポート(PDF)
    Competitor leaderboard report
  • 市場動向、戦略、予測レポート(PDF)
    Market trends, strategies and forecasts report (pdf)
  • 市場データ&予測(xls)
    Market data & forecasts – data and interactivity (xls)
  • 最新データへの12ヶ月アクセス
    harvest market data platform (12 months’ online access)
(1) 動向&戦略調査
  • 市場動向&戦略レポート(PDF)
    Market trends & strategies report
GBP 1,990
  • 競合スコアボードレポート(PDF)
    Competitor leaderboard report
GBP 1,990
(2) 市場規模&予測GBP 2,990
  • 市場データ・予測・分析レポート(PDF)
    Market data, forecasts and analysis report (pdf)

[プレスリリース]

CBDC TRANSACTIONS TO EXCEED $213 BILLION BY 2030 GLOBALLY, AS NEW PAYMENT MODELS ACCELERATE FINANCIAL INCLUSION

Hampshire, UK – 13th March 2023: The new study from Juniper Research, foremost experts analysing the fintech & payments market today, found that the value of payments via CBDCs (Central Bank Digital Currencies) will reach $213 billion annually by 2030; up from just $100 million in 2023. This radical growth of over 260,000% reflects the early stage of the sector; currently limited to pilot projects.

Adoption will be driven by governments leveraging CBDCs to boost financial inclusion and increase their control over how digital payments are made. CBDCs will improve access to digital payments, particularly in emerging economies; where mobile penetration is significantly higher than banking penetration.

A CBDC is a digital coin issued by a central bank, pegged to the country’s fiat currency (government‑issued physical money).

Find out more about the new report: CBDCs & Stablecoins: Key Opportunities, Regional Analysis and Market Forecasts 2023-2030, or download a free sample.

Domestic Payments to Account for Over 90% of CBDCs by 2030

The research found that by 2030, 92% of the total value transacted via CBDCs will be paid domestically. This reflects a change from almost 100% during the current pilot stages, as of 2023. Since CBDCs are issued by central banks, they will be closely targeted to domestic payment challenges initially, with cross-border payments coming later, as systems become established and links are made between CBDCs used by individual countries.

Report author Nick Maynard explained: “While cross-border payments currently have high costs and slow transaction speeds, this area is not the focus of CBDC development. As CBDC adoption will be very country specific, it will be incumbent on cross-border payment networks to link schemes together; allowing the wider payments industry to benefit from CBDCs.”

High Demand Key for Full-service CBDC Platforms Providers

The research identified a lack of commercial product development around CBDCs as a key limiting factor for the current market, with few well-defined platforms for central banks to leverage. The research recommends that prospective CBDC platform providers develop a full end-to-end solution, including wholesale capabilities, wallet provision and merchant acceptance, in order to enable the realisation of CBDCs’ potential.

Juniper Research provides research and analytical services to the global hi-tech communications sector, providing consultancy, analyst reports and commentary.


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